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1--- 2title: January 7th, 2024 3date: 2024-01-07, 09:59:34 -08:00 4section: journal 5aliases: 6link: https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/signs-and-portents 7tags: 8 - AI 9--- 10 11> The average estimated date for when AI could beat humans at **every possible task** shifted dramatically, moving from 2060 to 2047—a decrease of 13 years—in just the past year alone! 12 13[Ethan Mollick, Signs and Portents](https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/signs-and-portents)